TSMC Guides 30% 2026 Sales Growth After 26% Q4 Revenue Gain

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TSMC's 2025 Q4 revenue rose 26%, contributing to a 36% annual sales increase to $122 billion, and management forecasts 30% growth in 2026 with a 25% CAGR to 2029. The foundry delivered 62.3% gross and 54% operating margins in Q4 and plans $54 billion 2026 capex, 70–80% on advanced technologies.

1. TSMC Reports Robust Growth

In its fourth quarter of 2025, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing achieved year-over-year revenue increases of 35%, 44%, 41% and 26% in Q1 through Q4 respectively, driving full-year sales up 36% to $122 billion. For 2026, management is guiding for another 30% sales increase and has set a target compound annual growth rate of 25% through 2029, a remarkable trajectory for a company of its scale.

2. Profitability Remains Strong

Despite heavy capital requirements for new fabs, gross margin expanded from 59.0% in 2024 to 62.3% in Q4 2025, while operating margin climbed from 49% to 54%. Guidance calls for first-quarter 2026 gross margin in the 63%–64% range and long-term above 56%, with operating margin of 54%–56%, reflecting disciplined cost control and pricing power.

3. AI-Driven Capex Expansion

TSMC’s high-performance computing segment, which includes AI chips, accounted for 58% of revenue in 2025 and grew 48% year-over-year. Capital expenditures in 2025 reached $41 billion, up from $30 billion the prior year, and are set to rise to $54 billion in 2026, with 70%–80% allocated to advanced process technologies—underscoring management’s confidence in sustained AI demand and its role as a key beneficiary of hyperscale build-outs.

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