United Airlines Flags 58% Fuel Price Surge to $3.95 Impacting Q1 Profits

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United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby warned jet fuel prices jumped 58% to $3.95 per gallon in one week, lifting fuel costs toward 40% of operating expenses and exposing the unhedged carrier to margin pressure in Q1. Analysts cut Q1 EPS forecasts to $0.05–$0.22 from $1.00–$1.50 despite booked revenue up 20%.

1. Fuel Price Surge

United Airlines faced a 58% jump in jet fuel costs to $3.95 per gallon within a week, with prices rising 15–20% week-over-week, raising fuel expenses toward 40% of operating costs.

2. Unhedged Exposure and Margin Pressure

The carrier’s lack of fuel hedges leaves it fully exposed to spot price swings, pressuring profit margins in the first quarter and potentially extending strains into the second quarter.

3. EPS Forecast Revisions

Analysts have slashed Q1 EPS forecasts to $0.05–$0.22 from prior guidance of $1.00–$1.50, even as booked revenue climbed roughly 20% year-over-year, reflecting investor concern over rising costs.

Sources

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