United Airlines Warns 58% Fuel Cost Surge Will Hit Q2 Margins

UALUAL

United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby warned that jet fuel prices have surged 58% to $3.95 per gallon since the U.S.–Israel–Iran conflict began, meaning a significant cost burden on Q2 results due to the carrier’s lack of fuel hedging. Strong demand with booked revenue up 20% year-over-year suggests potential fare increases.

1. CEO Remarks on Fuel Surge

Scott Kirby said rapid fuel price increases since the U.S.–Israel–Iran conflict will have a meaningful impact on second-quarter results.

2. Jet Fuel Price Trends and Exposure

Jet fuel reached $3.95 per gallon, a 58% jump since the conflict began; United absorbs full cost swings due to no hedging policy.

3. Demand and Fare Outlook

Booked revenue is up 20% year-over-year, reflecting sustained travel demand, and Kirby indicated higher airfares will likely be implemented quickly to offset rising fuel costs.

4. Technical Stock Indicators

United shares trade below key moving averages, with the stock 16.4% below its 20-day SMA and the RSI at 35, suggesting bearish momentum and support at $88.50.

Sources

SFBC