Urban Outfitters Q4 EPS Expected +19% with Negative Earnings ESP Signal

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Urban Outfitters is projected to report fiscal Q4 EPS of $1.24 (+19.2% YoY) on $1.79 billion revenue (+9.3%), while its Earnings ESP of -0.81% and a Zacks Rank of #4 signal low odds of an upside surprise. The retailer has beaten consensus EPS for four consecutive quarters.

1. Earnings Expectations

Urban Outfitters is forecast to deliver Q4 EPS of $1.24, up 19.2% year-over-year, on revenue of $1.79 billion, representing a 9.3% increase from the prior year’s quarter.

2. Estimate Revisions and ESP

Consensus EPS estimates have declined by 0.53% over the past 30 days, with the Most Accurate Estimate now below the consensus, resulting in a negative Earnings ESP of -0.81%.

3. Historical Surprise Record

The company has outperformed consensus EPS in each of the last four quarters, including a 7.6% surprise in the most recent period, underscoring a pattern of upside surprises despite mixed analyst sentiment.

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