Vivid Seats Q1 Forecast: $130M Revenue, $1.11 Loss per Share; 2026 Rev Upgraded

SEATSEAT

Vivid Seats is forecast to post Q1 2026 revenue of $130 million and a loss of $1.11 per share, with full-year 2026 revenue estimated at $510 million and EPS of -$4.34. Over the past 90 days, 2026 revenue estimates rose from $490 million to $510 million and EPS projections improved from -$4.79 to -$4.34, while 2027 EPS estimates slipped from -$2.51 to -$3.84.

1. Earnings Forecast

Vivid Seats is set to report Q1 2026 revenue of $130 million and an EPS loss of $1.11 per share. Full-year 2026 consensus projects $510 million in revenue and a -$4.34 per share loss, reflecting ongoing investments and margin pressures.

2. Estimate Revisions

In the past 90 days, full-year 2026 revenue forecasts have increased from $490 million to $510 million, while EPS estimates for 2026 improved from a -$4.79 loss to -$4.34. Conversely, 2027 EPS projections have deteriorated from a -$2.51 loss to -$3.84 per share.

3. Q4 Results Recap

In Q4 2025, Vivid Seats reported $130 million in revenue, missing consensus by 7.5%, and delivered a -$40.95 per share loss, far below the expected -$1.49. The earnings shortfall drove a 7.4% one-day share price drop.

4. Analyst Price Targets & Recommendations

Analysts set a one-year average price target of $10.58, implying 56% upside from current levels, with a high of $18.00 and a low of $5.65. The estimated intrinsic value is $4.07, suggesting potential downside, and the consensus broker rating of 2.8 indicates a hold stance.

Sources

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