Walmart Raises FY2026 EPS Guidance to $2.58–2.63 After Q3 Beat

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Walmart beat Q3 consensus with $0.62 EPS versus $0.60 and $179.5B revenue versus $175.2B, guiding FY2026 EPS to $2.58–2.63. CIBC Asset Management raised its stake by 0.7% to 820,277 shares valued at $84.5M, while insiders sold 135,215 shares worth $15.3M, including CEO’s $2.31M sale.

1. Institutional Investment Activity

During the third quarter CIBC Asset Management increased its holdings in Walmart by 0.7%, acquiring 5,434 additional shares to bring its total to 820,277 shares, representing a stake valued at approximately $84.5 million. Other notable moves included Revolve Wealth Partners adding 96 shares for a 1.0% increase, Atlas Legacy Advisors purchasing 98 shares for a 1.1 boost, and Meridian Wealth Partners acquiring 99 shares to grow its position by 2.1%. In total, hedge funds and institutional investors now own 26.76% of the company’s outstanding shares, underscoring continued confidence from large‐scale capital allocators in Walmart’s long‐term growth trajectory.

2. Q3 Earnings Beat and Guidance

In its most recent quarter, Walmart reported revenue of $179.5 billion, exceeding consensus estimates of $175.2 billion and marking a 5.8% year‐over‐year increase. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.62, outpacing the street estimate of $0.60. The company achieved a net margin of 3.26% and a return on equity of 21.31%. Management reiterated full‐year guidance in the range of $2.58 to $2.63 per share, compared with an analyst consensus of $2.55, signaling confidence in continued margin expansion through operational efficiencies and scale.

3. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets

Thirty‐four research firms currently cover Walmart, with thirty‐two assigning a Buy or Overweight stance and two maintaining a Hold rating. Recent target revisions include BTIG maintaining its Buy recommendation with a $125 target, KeyCorp affirming an Overweight rating with a $128 objective, Piper Sandler raising its target from $111 to $123, and DA Davidson setting a $130 price goal. The consensus target stands at $123.20, implying mid‐single‐digit upside from current levels and reflecting analysts’ belief in Walmart’s defensive retail positioning and omnichannel growth prospects.

4. Insider Transactions and Market Sentiment

In mid‐January, CEO C. Douglas McMillon sold 19,416 shares for proceeds of $2.31 million, trimming his stake by approximately 0.45%. Executive Vice Presidents Daniel Danker and Donna Morris each divested roughly 4,365 and 9,384 shares respectively, realizing over $1.65 million combined. These sales, which represent modest declines of 1.8% and 1.7% in their holdings, have sparked some negative sentiment, particularly in light of recent short‐term share weakness. However, insiders still retain significant positions, and the transactions align with pre‐scheduled plans rather than signaling any shift in long‐term company outlook.

Sources

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