Western Digital Forecasts 20% Q2 Revenue Rise to $2.9 Billion
Western Digital forecasts fiscal Q2 2026 non-GAAP revenue of $2.9 billion, a 20% year-over-year rise driven by data-center demand for high-capacity drives. Analysts anticipate about 35% annual EPS growth and 17% revenue growth, while WDC beat Q3 earnings estimates by 13% and revenue by 3.4%.
1. Fiscal Q2 Revenue and Earnings Beat Expectations
Western Digital reported fiscal Q2 non-GAAP revenue of $2.9 billion, marking a 20% year-over-year increase driven by robust data center demand for high-capacity hard disk drives. The company beat consensus revenue estimates by 3.4% and surpassed adjusted EPS forecasts by nearly 13%, reflecting operational leverage in its core HDD business and resilient contract volumes with hyperscale customers.
2. Valuation Dynamics and Analyst Growth Projections
Shares of Western Digital trade at approximately 35 times trailing earnings, compared with a 10-year median of 18 times, reflecting investor confidence in the secular data center build-out. Analysts forecast roughly 35% annual EPS growth and 17% annual revenue growth over the next several years, though consensus estimates may prove conservative if AI-driven storage requirements continue to accelerate. On a forward basis, the stock sits around 22 times fiscal 2027 earnings, suggesting room for multiple expansion if growth targets are met.
3. Market Share Leadership and Secular Demand Drivers
Western Digital holds about 62.8% share of the global HDD market, outpacing its closest competitor’s 37.2% share, and participates in a 70%-consolidated enterprise SSD segment alongside key peers. Hyperscale customers are expected to spend roughly $400 billion on AI hardware this year, a trend that benefits Western Digital’s high-capacity drives. As AI training shifts toward video and image models requiring multi-terabyte storage pools, the company’s scale and ‘sticky’ multi-year contracts position it to sustain margin stability and revenue momentum.