15 of 19 Analysts Rate BlackRock Buy with $1,315 Price Target

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Analysts at 19 firms rate BlackRock a consensus “Moderate Buy” with 15 buy and 4 hold opinions and an average 12-month target of $1,314.71. Bank of America raised its price objective to $1,464, while BMO and Goldman Sachs set targets near $1,250–$1,313.

1. Analysts’ Consensus and Price Targets

Nineteen research firms currently cover BlackRock, assigning a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. Of these, fifteen recommend a buy and four recommend a hold. Over the past year, analysts’ 12-month price targets have averaged $1,314.71. Recent revisions include Bank of America raising its objective from $1,456 to $1,464, Goldman Sachs reaffirming a buy rating with a $1,313 target, TD Cowen moving its rating from buy to hold, BMO Capital Markets cutting its target from $1,300 to $1,250, and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods boosting its target from $1,310 to $1,340.

2. Q4 Earnings Performance

For the quarter ended December 31, BlackRock reported earnings per share of $13.16, beating expectations by $0.61, on revenues of $6.33 billion, below consensus by $0.47 billion. Revenue rose 23.4% year-over-year, driven by gains in both active management and ETF inflows. The firm achieved a net margin of 22.93% and a return on equity of 15.14%. Analysts now forecast full-year EPS of $47.41, reflecting confidence in ongoing fee growth from iShares and Aladdin platform licensing.

3. Dividend Increase and Payout Metrics

BlackRock declared a quarterly dividend of $5.73 per share, to be paid March 24 to holders of record March 6. This reflects an increase from the prior dividend of $5.21 and equates to an annualized payout of $22.92 per share. At the current payout level, the dividend yield stands at 2.0% and the payout ratio at 58.84%, underscoring the firm’s capacity to return capital while retaining earnings for reinvestment.

4. Insider Transactions and Institutional Ownership

In the past month, Director J. Richard Kushel sold 20,000 shares, decreasing his stake by 24.4%, and CFO Martin Small sold 27,047 shares, reducing his position by 71.9%. Combined insider dispositions totaled $55.5 million over ninety days. Institutional investors hold 80.69% of outstanding shares. Notable recent moves include Pacifica Partners increasing its stake by 450%, TruNorth Capital Management by 1,000%, and Hopwood Financial Services by 867%, illustrating continued confidence from hedge funds and asset managers.

Sources

FDB