Adobe Shares Down 8.8% in Three Months with 14x Forward Earnings

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Adobe shares have declined 8.8% over three months, underperforming the Computer and Technology sector’s 3.9% return due to AI concerns and competition from Microsoft, OpenAI, Alphabet, Salesforce, Midjourney and Canva. The stock trades at roughly 14 times forward earnings after aggressive buybacks, with quarterly revenue growth above 10%.

1. Share Performance Trails Broader Market

On the most recent trading session, Adobe’s stock fell by 2.62%, a larger decline than the overall equity market. Over the past three months, the shares have slid by 8.8%, whereas the Zacks Computer and Technology sector has risen by 3.9%. This relative underperformance reflects growing investor caution in technology names, particularly those exposed to artificial intelligence developments and macroeconomic uncertainty.

2. Sustained Double-Digit Revenue Growth

Despite pressure on the stock price, Adobe has delivered quarter-over-quarter revenue growth in excess of 10% for each of the last four reporting periods. Management attributes this resilience to robust demand for its Creative Cloud suite, expanding enterprise subscriptions in Digital Experience, and early traction for its AI-powered tools. In the most recent quarter, total revenue advanced by 12% year-over-year, driven by a 15% increase in subscription revenue.

3. Aggressive Buyback Program Supports EPS Expansion

Since peaking in late 2021, Adobe’s share count has declined by approximately 8% thanks to ongoing repurchases. With the stock trading near 14 times forward earnings—down from more than 20 times at its all-time high—the company’s buybacks have become more accretive to diluted EPS. Over the past year, Adobe has allocated nearly 3 billion dollars to repurchases, helping to offset margin pressure and bolster per-share profitability even as total revenue growth moderates.

Sources

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