Adobe’s Price Targets Cut to $425 and $450 as Q4 Beats Estimates
Analysts hold an average one-year price target of $402.85 for Adobe following cuts from Morgan Stanley to $425 and Stifel Nicolaus to $450. Adobe reported Q4 EPS of $5.50 (beat $0.10) on $6.19B revenue (up 10.5% YoY) and guided FY2026 EPS of 23.30-23.50.
1. Analyst Consensus Rating
Twenty‐eight brokerages covering Adobe have assigned a consensus rating of Hold. Of these, four analysts recommend Sell, twelve recommend Hold, eleven recommend Buy and one rates the shares as Strong Buy. The average one‐year target among these firms stands at approximately 403.
2. Recent Target Revisions
Since early December, Morgan Stanley trimmed its objective from 450 to 425 and maintained an Equal Weight stance; Stifel Nicolaus lowered its target from 480 to 450 while retaining a Buy recommendation; UBS reaffirmed its high‐400s objective; Cowen reiterated a Hold rating; and Weiss Ratings reissued a Hold (C–) assessment at year end.
3. Insider and Institutional Transactions
Adobe’s Chief Accounting Officer reduced her holdings by 4.17% in late October, selling 149 shares and leaving her with 3,426 shares. Institutional ownership remains robust at 81.79%. In Q2, Norges Bank initiated a stake valued north of two billion dollars; Arrowstreet Capital boosted its position by 53.3% in Q3; Dodge & Cox increased its stake over 8,000% year over year; AQR Capital grew its holdings by 55.2%; and Franklin Resources added nearly 69% more shares in Q2.
4. Q4 Earnings and 2026 Outlook
In its latest quarter, Adobe reported EPS of 5.50, beating consensus by 0.10, and revenue of 6.19 billion, topping estimates by 80 million. Year‐over‐year revenue grew 10.5%, net margin held at 30%, and return on equity reached 61.3%. Management has guided Q1 EPS to a range of 5.85–5.90 and full‐year EPS to 23.30–23.50, while analysts expect around 16.65 EPS for the current fiscal year.