Affirm Leads $509.2B BNPL Market with Profitability, Pursues Bank Charter
A new report projects the global BNPL market will reach $509.2 billion in 2026 and $1 trillion by 2031 at a 14.7% CAGR, reinforcing Affirm’s leadership alongside Klarna. Affirm reported recent profitability and is expanding merchant and banking integrations while pursuing an industrial loan bank charter to drive growth.
1. Stock Performance Shows Notable Pullback
Affirm Holdings shares declined 3.92% in the latest session, underperforming broader payment-technology peers. The drop follows a period of choppy trading, with volume running about 20% above the 30-day average. Investors have cited concerns around near-term consumer spending trends and margin pressure on point-of-sale financing.
2. Leadership Position in a Rapidly Expanding BNPL Market
Affirm remains one of the top pure-play buy-now-pay-later platforms as the global BNPL market is forecast to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 14.7%, from $509.2 billion in 2026 to $1 trillion by 2031. The company has expanded merchant integrations by 25% over the past year, adding over 15,000 new retail partners across North America and Europe. This scale advantage supports its underwriting and risk-management capabilities as regulatory requirements tighten.
3. Strategic Catalysts Could Drive Next-Phase Growth
Affirm has applied to become an industrial loan company, which would allow it to offer FDIC-insured deposit accounts and broaden its financial-services suite. Additionally, potential regulation capping credit-card interest rates could steer customers toward installment financing products. Management has highlighted that cross-selling virtual and physical cards to its 8 million active users could increase revenue per consumer by over 30% annually.