Court Advances Antitrust Claims Against Alphabet’s Search Defaults; Q3 Cloud Grows 34%

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A federal judge allowed a consumer antitrust class action alleging Alphabet’s exclusive default-search deals with Apple and Android violate Sherman Act Section 2 to proceed. Google Cloud grew revenue 34% in Q3 with a 24% operating margin, while analysts expect Q4 2025 revenue of $111.43 billion.

1. Sustained Double-Digit Revenue Growth and Strong Profitability

Alphabet is projected to grow revenue by 14.4% in 2025, reflecting continued momentum in its core digital-advertising business. In the third quarter, the company generated an operating margin of 31% and maintained a gross margin just under 60%, underscoring its ability to convert top-line growth into substantial profits. Its legacy search and video-advertising platforms both delivered mid-teens percentage gains in ad revenue year over year, reinforcing Alphabet’s position as a reliable cash engine even as it scales new initiatives.

2. Google Cloud Emerges as a Major Growth Engine

Google Cloud revenue surged 34% year over year in Q3, with total contract backlog up by over 80%, signaling robust enterprise demand for cloud and AI infrastructure. The division’s operating margin expanded from the high teens into the mid-20s percentage range over the past year, demonstrating improving scale economics despite ongoing investments in data centers and custom processors. As a result, cloud now represents a structurally significant contributor to Alphabet’s overall financial profile, diversifying its revenue base beyond advertising.

3. AI Integration and Network Effects Bolster Competitive Moat

Alphabet has moved AI from laboratory experiments into production, embedding its Gemini model across Search, YouTube, Workspace and Android to enhance user engagement and advertiser monetization. With over two billion active users globally, the company’s vast data trove and powerful network effects create a formidable barrier to entry. Capital expenditures on AI-related infrastructure have accelerated into the tens of billions annually, reflecting management’s commitment to secure compute capacity and maintain technological leadership.

4. Attractive Valuation for a Leader in AI and Cloud

Despite its trillion-dollar scale and rapid expansion into cloud and AI, Alphabet trades at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 29.5, below many pure-play growth peers. Analysts expect earnings to rise by more than 20% in 2025, driven by both advertising and cloud-related businesses. Given its strong balance sheet, high return on equity, and multi-pillar growth strategy, Alphabet’s valuation provides investors with a balanced entry point into one of the market’s most durable compounders.

Sources

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