Alphabet shares rally 6% YTD at 33x P/E on AI, Siri partnership
Alphabet shares have rallied nearly 6% year-to-date and trade at about 33x trailing P/E, approaching all-time highs. The company is scaling AI leadership through heavy TPU spending, landed Apple’s selection of Gemini to power Siri, acquired Common Sense Machine, invested in startup Sakana and is expanding Waymo robotaxi development.
1. Alphabet’s AI-Driven Outperformance
Shares of Alphabet climbed nearly 64% over the past year, emerging as the top performer among the so-called “Magnificent Seven,” and are up just under 6% year to date. This rally reflects the company’s substantial lead in artificial intelligence, where its Gemini model consistently ranks at the top in independent benchmarks. Investors have rewarded Alphabet’s strategy of embedding AI into core products—Search queries now feed directly into Gemini, generating fresher results, while personalization across Gmail, Maps and YouTube has boosted user engagement metrics by double digits. With Google Search still maintaining over 90% market share globally, the integration with Gemini has reinforced the firm’s competitive moat.
2. Strategic Investments and High-Profile Partnerships
Over the last 12 months Alphabet has committed more than $12 billion to build out its Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) network, securing a distinct advantage in AI training and inference. The firm also completed its acquisition of Common Sense Machine, bolstering 3D generative-AI capabilities, and led a $200 million round into British AI start-up Synthesia, which more than doubled its valuation to $4 billion. Perhaps most notably, Apple selected Gemini to power an overhauled Siri in a multiyear deal that could funnel several billion dollars into Google Cloud. That partnership—covering Siri, Apple Intelligence features and on-device AI across more than 2.4 billion active devices—underscores industry confidence in Alphabet’s AI roadmap.
3. Cloud Profitability and Future Catalysts
Google Cloud revenue jumped 35% year-over-year last quarter, with operating margin expanding from 17.1% to 23.7%, a sign that scale is translating into profits. Management has guided for continued margin improvement in 2026, driven by AI services and optimized infrastructure. Beyond Cloud, Alphabet is piloting Waymo robotaxi services in three U.S. cities, a project scheduled to generate its first meaningful revenue run rates by late 2027. With R&D spend projected at $91–$93 billion for the full year and free cash flow yield around 1.8%, the company faces a critical test: can capex translate into sustained returns? Investors will be watching metrics such as revenue per user in AI products, Cloud operating income growth and cash‐flow reacceleration as earlier investments mature.