Amazon Forecasts $211.3 B Q4 Revenue and 6% EPS Growth
Analysts expect Amazon’s Q4 ’25 revenue to reach $211.3 billion with EPS of $1.97, reflecting 13% revenue growth and 6% EPS growth year-over-year. Full-year ’25 revenue and EPS rose 12% and 29%, leaving the shares trading at 34× EPS and 20× cash flow, while 2026 EPS of $8.00 implies 12% growth.
1. AWS Growth Drives Investor Expectations
Analysts entering this week’s report are projecting Amazon’s cloud division to deliver another quarter of double-digit growth. Consensus estimates call for AWS revenue to increase by approximately 20% year-over-year, reflecting more than a gigawatt of additional capacity added in Q4 to support surging AI workloads. Investors will be watching closely for commentary on utilization rates in Europe and Asia-Pacific regions, where supply constraints have by some accounts limited near-term revenue upside. Any indication that AWS can convert its sizeable $200 billion-plus backlog into booked orders at scale would likely be viewed as bullish for the stock’s premium valuation.
2. Q4 Revenue and EPS Trends Point to Continued Momentum
Street expectations for the December quarter sit near $211 billion in total revenue, representing roughly 13% annual growth, with adjusted EPS pegged around $1.97. If met, these figures would mark nearly 30% full-year EPS growth and 12% revenue growth for fiscal 2025. Investors will parse the company’s guidance for Q1 and full-year 2026, where consensus sees EPS growth slowing to the low-teens percentage range and revenue growth of about 11%. Management’s outlook on marketing spend, freight costs and promotional activity will be scrutinized for signs of margin pressure or operational leverage opportunities.
3. AI Investments and Workforce Optimizations Under the Spotlight
Amazon’s recent rounds of corporate reductions—totaling over 30 000 positions since last fall—have been attributed internally to cost-efficiency initiatives tied to AI tool deployment. Market participants will look for updates on capital expenditure plans for in-house Trainium chips and data-center expansions. Any commentary on the pace of AI adoption within logistics, customer service and device teams may offer clues on how much operating leverage management expects to recoup through automation versus revenue-driven scale.