Amazon CEO Warns Tariffs Could Add 10% Costs, Squeezing Retail Margins
CEO Andy Jassy told CNBC that inventory stocked before Trump's tariffs ran out last fall, prompting some third-party sellers to pass roughly 10% in added costs to consumers. He cautioned that with retail operating margins of about 5%–6%, Amazon may be forced to raise prices or see demand fall.
1. Pre-Earnings Technical and Options Strategy
Amazon shares have carved out seven consecutive higher lows over the past eight weeks, finding support near their 50-day moving average ahead of the company’s early-February earnings announcement. Technical momentum remains positive but has stalled in recent sessions, prompting traders to consider two primary option strategies. The first approach is a long straddle using February expirations: implied volatility stands at roughly 25% annualized, offering an attractive premium for a potential post-earnings move. The second tactic is a covered-call write against existing share positions, targeting strike prices about 5% above current levels to generate immediate income while maintaining upside participation if the report surprises to the upside. Average daily options volume has surged by 30% in the past ten trading days, underscoring elevated investor interest in hedged exposures ahead of the release.
2. Tariffs Begin to Filter into Consumer Prices
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, CEO Andy Jassy warned that inventory buffers built up last year to counter U.S. import levies have largely been depleted since last fall. As a result, roughly 20% of third-party sellers on the platform have started passing through cost increases—estimated at up to 10% on certain imported goods—resulting in average price uplifts of 4%–6% on those items. Amazon’s own retail division, operating on mid-single-digit operating margins, has absorbed roughly half of the added tariff burden to preserve customer demand, while smaller merchants have absorbed less due to tighter margin constraints. Jassy noted a measurable uptick in shoppers trading down: units sold in Amazon’s sub-$25 price tier rose by 15% year-over-year in December, as consumers seek value in the face of broader cost pressures.
3. Unprecedented AI Compute Demand Fuels Infrastructure Investment
Amazon Web Services reports that demand for specialized AI compute instances has more than tripled over the past 12 months, driven by enterprise customers scaling large-language-model training and inference workloads. In response, AWS accelerated its rollout of custom Trainium chips and expanded data-center capacity across three new regions in Asia–Pacific and Europe, adding over 200 megawatts of capacity since Q4. CEO Jassy described the current AI compute curve as “unprecedented,” noting capital expenditures on infrastructure increased by 35% in the last quarter alone. This build-out aims to ensure Amazon can meet projected AI compute demand growth of at least 50% year-over-year through 2026.