Analysts Assign Toyota Motor Average Hold Rating; Q3 EPS of $4.85 Beats by $1.49

TMTM

Seven research firms rate Toyota Motor stock an average Hold recommendation, including two sell, two hold and three buy ratings. In the latest quarter Toyota posted $4.85 EPS on $81.22 billion revenue, beating $3.36 EPS and $79.06 billion estimates, and set FY2026 EPS guidance at $15.249.

1. Average Analyst Recommendation and Recent Rating Changes

Seven research firms currently cover Toyota Motor Corporation, assigning an average recommendation of Hold. Two analysts rate the stock Sell, two rate it Hold and three rate it Buy. Over the past two months, Erste Group Bank upgraded its rating to Buy, Wall Street Zen downgraded from Buy to Hold, Zacks Research cut its rating to Strong Sell and Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a Hold (c) view. This dispersion of views reflects divergent assessments of Toyota’s near-term growth prospects and margin outlook in a transitioning global auto market.

2. Q3 Earnings Performance and FY 2026 Guidance

In its latest quarterly results, Toyota reported earnings of ¥4.85 per share, exceeding consensus estimates by ¥1.49, on quarterly revenue of ¥81.22 billion, topping analyst projections by ¥2.16 billion. The company delivered a net margin of 9.33% and achieved a return on equity of 12.32%. Management reiterated full-year EPS guidance at ¥15.249, while analysts on average forecast annual EPS of ¥19.76, indicating the market expects upside driven by stronger hybrid sales and cost efficiencies in powertrain production.

3. Institutional Ownership Trends

Major institutional investors have materially increased their stakes in TM this year. Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management boosted its position by 204.7% in Q3, acquiring an additional 172,829 shares. Orion Portfolio Solutions expanded its holding by 717.3% in Q2 with a net purchase of 128,128 shares. Fisher Asset Management added 112,905 shares in Q2, raising its total to over 6.8 million shares. Clark Capital Management Group grew its stake by 46.2% in Q3, and Franklin Resources increased its position by 1,509.1% during the same period. Together, institutional ownership now represents approximately 1.48% of the company’s outstanding shares, underscoring growing confidence among large investors.

Sources

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