17 of 29 Analysts Rate Elastic NV Moderate Buy with $104.88 Target

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Twenty-nine analysts rate Elastic N.V. a consensus “Moderate Buy,” comprising 17 buy, 11 hold and one sell recommendation, with a mean 1-year price objective of $104.88. Stifel Nicolaus lowered its target from $134 to $108, while Cantor Fitzgerald trimmed its projection to $85 and RBC to $95.

1. Analyst Consensus and Price Targets

Twenty-nine analysts covering Elastic N.V. have issued ratings that yield a consensus ‘Moderate Buy’. Of those, seventeen recommend buys, eleven hold, and one issues a sell. The average one-year price objective across these brokerages stands at $104.88. Recent revisions include Stifel Nicolaus trimming its target from $134 to $108, Cantor Fitzgerald lowering its target from $94 to $85, and Royal Bank of Canada cutting its objective from $115 to $95.

2. Quarterly Earnings and Growth Metrics

In its Q2 FY2026 results, Elastic reported revenue of $423.48 million, up 15.9% year-over-year, exceeding consensus by approximately $5.2 million. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.64, beating estimates by $0.06. The company’s negative net margin stood at 6.79%, reflecting continued investments in R&D and go-to-market expansion. Management has guided Q3 FY2026 EPS to a range of $0.63–$0.65, with full-year consensus at –$0.77 per share due to elevated cost absorption and serverless infrastructure roll-out.

3. Insider Transactions and Ownership

Chief Revenue Officer Mark Eugene Dodds sold 5,800 shares on December 5th for total proceeds of $432,680, reducing his stake by 3.47%. Director Paul R. Auvil III purchased 10,000 shares on December 1st for $710,200, boosting his holding by 35.77%. Over the past 90 days, insiders have sold 61,828 shares valued at $4.64 million. Corporate insiders retain 12.70% ownership, while institutional investors control 97.03% of outstanding shares.

4. AI Product Expansion and Market Position

Elastic has enhanced its AI capabilities through Elastic Cloud Serverless, delivering 50% higher indexing throughput and a new Agent Builder tool to facilitate custom AI agent creation. These enhancements strengthen its core search and analytics platform—Elasticsearch, Kibana, Beats, and Logstash—addressing enterprise demand for observability and security use cases. With a price-to-sales ratio of 5.27 and projected analyst upside of over 40%, Elastic’s AI-driven product roadmap may underpin its valuation recovery despite competitive pressures.

Sources

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