Analysts Expect 6.9% Revenue Growth to $6.83B, $3.05 EPS for McDonald’s

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McDonald's reported Q4 revenue of $7.08B (+3% YoY), posting an EBITDA beat but missing EPS estimates, while analysts forecast next quarter sales of $6.83B (+6.9% YoY) at $3.05 adjusted EPS. The chain has missed revenue targets five times over two years despite peers Yum China and Yum! Brands outpacing growth.

1. Q4 Performance

McDonald’s delivered $7.08 billion in Q4 revenue, up 3% year on year, achieved a slight EBITDA beat but fell short of consensus EPS estimates.

2. Analyst Outlook

Analysts are projecting McDonald’s next-quarter revenue to reach $6.83 billion (a 6.9% year-on-year increase) and adjusted EPS of $3.05, with coverage estimates largely unchanged over the past 30 days.

3. Peer Comparison

Yum China reported 8.8% revenue growth, topping estimates by 3.9%, while Yum! Brands grew 6.4%, beating forecasts by 2.7%, driving respective share gains of 9.7% and 1.5% on their results.

4. Market Sentiment

McDonald’s shares have risen 6% over the last month, and the average analyst price target of $335.63 implies potential upside from current levels.

Sources

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