Apple Sees 8% Q4 Sales Growth, $90.7B Buybacks and 10–12% Holiday Revenue Forecast
Apple grew sales 8% year over year in fiscal Q4 with services revenue up 15% and repurchased $90.7 billion of stock in fiscal 2025. Shares trade at a 33x forward P/E as management forecasts 10–12% revenue growth in the holiday quarter, driven by a strong iPhone cycle and services momentum.
1. Apple’s Fiscal 2025 Momentum
In its fiscal fourth quarter, the company delivered 8% year-over-year revenue growth and saw its services segment expand by 15%, outpacing the full-year services growth rate of 13.5%. Total annual revenue reached $416 billion, marking a substantial rebound from the prior year’s 2% sales increase. Strong free cash flow and a net cash position supported a record $90.7 billion in share repurchases and sustained dividend payouts. Despite trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 33, management forecasts 10%–12% revenue growth in the holiday quarter, driven by a robust iPhone upgrade cycle and continued double-digit services growth.
2. AI and Siri Challenges Heading into 2026
The company missed its planned rollout of a generative-AI upgrade to its voice assistant, leading to the departure of senior AI executives and raising concerns that Apple may fall behind peers in next-generation user interfaces. With the Siri overhaul now pushed into 2026, investors will watch closely whether the promised enhancements can drive upgrades among the installed base of more than 2 billion active devices. Success is critical for sustaining the hardware super-cycle narrative and justifying the current premium valuation, especially if Apple opts to leverage AI breakthroughs to maintain its competitive edge rather than introduce subscription fees for core intelligent services.