Apple Stock Drops 15% to $245 with RSI at 18 Heading Into Earnings

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Apple shares have fallen nearly 15% to ~$245, sinking into a relative strength index of 18—its lowest since 2008—heading into earnings next week. Evercore added Apple to its tactical outperform list with a $330 price target, and Wedbush set a $350 target, citing strong ASPs and services growth.

1. Goldman Sachs Fund Initiates Major Apple Position

In the latest regulatory filings, the Goldman Sachs Strategic Factor Allocation Fund disclosed a new stake in Apple Inc., acquiring 251,607 shares valued at approximately $67 million. This marks the first time the fund has held Apple in its portfolio, representing a strategic shift toward large-cap technology exposure. The purchase accounted for over 1% of the fund’s total assets under management and underscores Goldman Sachs’ conviction in Apple’s near-term growth drivers, including services revenue expansion and anticipated device refresh cycles.

2. Mixed Institutional Activity Highlights Diverging Views

Meanwhile, other institutional investors have taken contrasting positions. City Holding Co. reduced its Apple stake by 5.4%, selling 5,642 shares to end the quarter with 99,754 shares, representing 3.2% of its portfolio and a valuation of $25.4 million. Bigelow Investment Advisors followed suit, trimming its holdings by 13.7% to 27,346 shares, worth $6.96 million, making Apple the firm’s fifth largest holding. These reductions suggest a segment of the buy-side is wary of near-term demand pressures, particularly in mature markets, even as others continue to accumulate.

3. Earnings Preview: Street Expects Continued Upside

Analysts forecast Apple will report quarterly revenue near $137.5 billion and adjusted earnings per share around $2.67, reflecting year-over-year growth of roughly 10.6% and 11.2%, respectively. Key metrics to watch include unit volumes in China, services segment margin trends and any commentary on artificial-intelligence integration across devices. Consensus estimates imply a potential double-digit upside to current consensus price targets if results beat expectations, while a miss could prompt further profit taking given the stock’s recent volatility.

4. Technical and Strategic Insights Point to Rebound Potential

On the technical front, Apple’s relative strength index has plunged to levels not seen since 2008, signaling an extremely oversold condition. Combined with a robust share-buyback program and a dividend yield above 0.4%, this technical setup has drawn tactical buyers. High-profile investors such as Peter Thiel have also rotated capital into Apple, adding to the stock as a hedge against more speculative positions. His fund now holds Apple as a strategic, if modest, allocation—underscoring the view that the risk/reward balance at current levels favors long-term holders.

Sources

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