Assured Guaranty Q4 Revenue Jumps 77.6% to $277M; EPS Beats
Assured Guaranty reported Q4 revenue of $277 million, up 77.6% year-over-year and 39.6% above estimates, while adjusted EPS of $2.32 surpassed forecasts by 48.4%. Book value per share climbed to $126.78, a 16.5% increase year-over-year, supporting its $3.97 billion market capitalization.
1. Strong Q4 Results
Assured Guaranty delivered Q4 CY2025 revenue of $277 million, exceeding consensus of $198.4 million by 39.6%. Adjusted EPS of $2.32 beat estimates of $1.56 by 48.4%, and pre-tax profit reached $165 million with a 59.6% margin.
2. Revenue and Premiums Dynamics
Net premiums earned totaled $94 million versus $93.85 million forecast, representing an 8.7% year-over-year decline. Non-premium revenue drove the 77.6% overall sales increase, reflecting stronger investment income and fee income streams.
3. Book Value Growth
Book value per share rose to $126.78, up 16.5% year-over-year and marking an 11.7% annual growth rate over the past two years. This increase underlines the insurer’s capacity to grow its capital base amid market volatility.
4. Market Reaction and Valuation Implications
The stock traded up 2.3% post-release, reflecting investor confidence in the earnings beat. With a $3.97 billion market cap, the results may prompt reassessment of Assured Guaranty’s valuation and growth prospects.