Baldwin Insurance Q4 EBITDA Up 10% to $69.6M, $250M Buyback Authorized

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Baldwin Insurance Group’s Q4 organic revenue rose 3%, with adjusted EBITDA up 10% to $69.6M (20.1% margin) despite a GAAP loss, and guidance for 2026 revenue of $2.01–2.05B, EBITDA of $460–480M and EPS of $2.00–2.10. It authorized a $250M share repurchase and added $350–400M of proforma revenue from partnerships.

1. Q4 Financial Results and Guidance

Baldwin delivered 3% organic revenue growth in Q4 and adjusted EBITDA rose 10% to $69.6M, a 20.1% margin, despite a GAAP net loss of $43.7M. Management guided 2026 revenue of $2.01–2.05B, adjusted EBITDA of $460–480M and adjusted EPS of $2.00–2.10.

2. Embedded Distribution Platforms Performance

In 2025 the Westwood platform, including Hippo, generated $190M of proforma revenue with a 55% policy bind rate and over 85% of premiums escrowed within mortgage payments. The Coverage Navigator tool added 12 partners and a 10-year exclusive Fairway deal, while the renters platform wrote over $280M in premium through embedded property management software.

3. Share Repurchase and Partnership Revenue

The board authorized a $250M accelerated share repurchase and secured $350–400M of proforma revenue from customer acquisition channel partners, expected to contribute $110M of post-synergy EBITDA. New partnership integrations are set to further diversify embedded insurance distribution.

4. Digital Initiatives and AI Strategy

Small commercial clients migrated to the digitally guided Founder Shield platform saw retention rise from 82% to 92%, margins improve by 40 percentage points and growth accelerate to 25%, with $17M onboarded and $30M remaining. Management expects AI to widen the gap between transactional brokers and platforms that own distribution, positioning Baldwin to benefit.

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