BlackRock CEO Sees Oil at $40 or $150 Based on Iran Conflict

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BlackRock CEO Larry Fink predicts oil may plunge to $40 or spike to $150 per barrel depending on whether the Iran conflict ends or persists. He warns U.S. gas near $4 per gallon could drop to $2.40, which may drive volatility in BlackRock’s energy funds and overall AUM.

1. Dual Oil Price Scenarios

Larry Fink outlined two stark oil price outcomes tied to the Iran conflict: a $40 per barrel scenario if the war ends and exports resume, or a sustained $150 per barrel level if hostilities persist and supply remains constrained.

2. Gasoline Price Implications

He highlighted that U.S. pump prices averaging almost $4 per gallon could fall to roughly $2.40 with $40 oil, referencing historical conversion rates and emphasizing the scale of potential consumer relief.

3. Potential Impact on BlackRock Business

Such oil price swings are poised to influence BlackRock’s energy-focused products and broader AUM, as fund flows may shift rapidly in response to changing commodity valuations and investor sentiment.

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