Bloom Energy Shares Plunge 18.5% Ahead of Q4 EPS and $646.8M Revenue Forecast
Bloom Energy shares plunged 18.5% after hitting a record high as investors await Q4 earnings forecasted to post $0.24 EPS on $646.8 million revenue, up from $572.4 million a year earlier. Analysts’ consensus rating is Hold with a $79.81 average price target, while technical indicators show neutral RSI of 69.16 and bullish MACD momentum.
1. Strong Fourth Quarter Performance
Bloom Energy delivered fourth-quarter revenue of $777.7 million, up 35.9% from $572.4 million a year earlier, driven by robust demand in both product and service offerings. Non-GAAP gross margin was 31.9%, a decline of 7.4 percentage points year-over-year due to mix and one-time costs, while GAAP operating income reached $87.5 million. The quarter generated $418.1 million of operating cash flow, marking the company’s second consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow and reflecting improved working capital management.
2. Record Full Year Results Fueled by AI Data Center Growth
For full-year 2025, Bloom Energy reported record revenue of $2.02 billion, a 37.3% increase from $1.47 billion in 2024, with product and service revenue up 35.5% to $1.76 billion. Full-year non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 30.3%, up 1.6 percentage points, and non-GAAP operating income nearly doubled to $221.0 million. The company generated $113.9 million of operating cash flow, marking the second straight year of positive free cash flow, and achieved a 29.0% GAAP gross margin, up from 27.5% in 2024.
3. Expanding Backlog and Secular Demand Trends
The current backlog stands at approximately $20 billion, including a product backlog of $6 billion, which represents a 250% year-over-year increase. Management highlighted secular shifts in power procurement among AI hyperscalers and manufacturing customers, with ‘bring-your-own-power’ strategies now considered essential. Service backlog growth also underscores long-term recurring revenue, with contracts ranging from 5 to 20 years for operation and maintenance of installed Energy Servers.
4. Bullish 2026 Outlook
Bloom Energy is guiding 2026 non-GAAP net sales of $3.10 billion to $3.30 billion, implying year-over-year growth of more than 50%. Adjusted earnings per share are expected between $1.33 and $1.48, versus a consensus of $1.07, supported by targeted non-GAAP gross margin of approximately 32% and non-GAAP operating income of $425 million to $475 million. Management plans continued investments in cost reduction and operational leverage to sustain margin expansion and cash-flow generation.