Broadcom’s AI Sales Grow 74% in Q4 and Forecasts 100% Q1 Growth

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Broadcom delivered $18.0B in Q4 FY2025 revenue, a 28% year-over-year gain, with AI semiconductor revenue up 74% to $6.5B and Q1 FY2026 guidance targeting $8.2B of AI chip sales (100% growth). Its stock trades at a 73.3 P/E and 26.5 P/S ratio, implying investors need a multi-year horizon.

1. Broadcom’s 2025 Outperformance and AI Opportunity

Broadcom stock surged by 50% in 2025, outpacing Nvidia’s 36% gain, driven by rapidly growing demand for custom AI accelerators and data center networking equipment. Over the past five years, AVGO has climbed almost 700%, underpinned by partnerships with major AI developers such as Alphabet (which used Broadcom-designed TPUs to power its Gemini models) and Anthropic, which has placed orders totaling $21 billion for Ironwood TPUs scheduled for delivery through late 2026. In addition, Broadcom’s Tomahawk Ethernet switches—known for industry-leading low latency and high throughput—have seen escalating adoption by hyperscale data centers seeking to optimize inter-chip data transfer for complex AI workloads.

2. Exceptional Q4 FY2025 Results and FY2026 Guidance

In its fiscal Q4 (ended Nov. 2, 2025), Broadcom posted $18 billion in revenue, exceeding the company’s own $17.4 billion forecast and marking a 28% year-over-year increase. Its AI semiconductor division delivered $6.5 billion in revenue, up 74% from Q4 of the prior year and accelerating from 63% growth in the previous quarter. GAAP profit for the quarter reached $8.5 billion, a 97% increase year-over-year, while full-year GAAP profit nearly quadrupled to $23.1 billion. For Q1 FY2026, management projects AI chip and networking revenue of $8.2 billion, representing further acceleration to 100% growth as enterprises expand their AI infrastructure deployments.

3. Stretched Valuation and Long-Term Investment Horizon

Despite its robust operating momentum, Broadcom’s stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 73.3—more than double the Nasdaq-100 technology index average—and a price-to-sales ratio of 26.5, almost three times its 10-year norm of 9.1. Based on fiscal 2025 EPS of $4.77, these multiples suggest limited short-term upside and elevated risk of multiple contraction. Investors are advised to adopt a multi-year holding horizon to capture the value of Broadcom’s deepening AI relationships and data center networking leadership, rather than seeking outsized gains over the next 12 months.

Sources

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