Cameco Gains 136% in Last Year on Uranium Demand, Beats Q4 Estimates
Cameco has risen 136% over the past year and 15% year-to-date, driven by surging uranium demand and 230 million pounds of long-term contracts. In Q4, it reported EPS of $0.36 on $875 million in revenue, beating estimates and forecasting $370–$430 million EBITDA from its Westinghouse partnership.
1. Stock Performance and Uranium Demand
Cameco shares have climbed 136% over the past year and 15% year-to-date, outpacing the broader market as global uranium demand climbs. The sector rotation toward lower-volatility energy plays and supply constraints has bolstered investor interest in the world’s largest publicly traded uranium producer.
2. Q4 Earnings Beat Expectations
In the fourth quarter, Cameco posted EPS of $0.36 versus estimates of $0.29 and delivered $875 million in revenue, surpassing projections by over $90 million. This marked the company’s second earnings beat in three quarters, highlighting improved operational execution and pricing power.
3. Long-term Contracts and Strategic Partnerships
By the end of 2025, Cameco secured approximately 230 million pounds of long-term uranium commitments, including 28 million pounds per year over the next five years. The company is preserving uncommitted supply to capture higher future prices and expects $370–$430 million in EBITDA from its Westinghouse collaboration in 2026.
4. Analyst Sentiment and Ownership Trends
Sixteen analysts assign a consensus Buy rating with a 12-month average price target implying over 16% upside. Institutional investors hold more than 70% of the float, while short interest has declined by 17%, reflecting growing confidence in Cameco’s growth trajectory.