Carpenter Technology Forecasts 32.5% EPS Increase to $2.20 on $728.6M Revenue

CRSCRS

Analysts forecast CRS to deliver Q4 EPS of $2.20, up 32.5% y/y, on $728.6m revenue (+7.6%), supporting a ‘strong buy’ on expected 7% sales and ~20% EBITDA CAGR through 2028. The specialty-alloy producer’s margins could expand from 23.1% to 32%, justifying a premium 24.6x EV/EBITDA multiple.

1. Q2 Earnings Outperform Zacks Consensus

Carpenter Technology reported second-quarter earnings of $2.33 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.20. This represents a 40% increase from the $1.66 earned in the year-ago quarter. The beat on earnings reflects improved pricing in the aerospace and defense alloys segment, as well as tighter cost controls in raw materials procurement. Investor attention will center on whether Carpenter can sustain this margin expansion in coming quarters given ongoing volatility in input costs.

2. Upcoming Quarter Outlook and Revenue Projection

Analysts expect Carpenter to post EPS of $2.20 in the upcoming period, a projected 32.5% year-over-year increase. Revenue is forecast at $728.6 million, up 7.6% from last year’s comparable quarter. The upward revisions—0.7% in consensus EPS over the past month—highlight growing confidence in end-market demand for specialty alloys. Management’s commentary on order backlogs and shipment schedules during the January 29 earnings call will be critical for gauging near-term sales momentum.

3. Valuation and Financial Position Support Premium Rating

Carpenter holds a strong buy rating underpinned by anticipated annual sales growth of 7% and EBITDA growth near 20% from 2025 through 2028. Margins are projected to climb from 23.1% to 32% over that period, supporting a premium valuation at 24.6 times EV/EBITDA. The company’s P/E ratio stands at 42.3, price-to-sales at 6.0, and enterprise-value-to-sales at 6.2. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37 and a current ratio of 4.44, Carpenter’s balance sheet combines moderate leverage with ample liquidity to fund growth initiatives.

Sources

ZFZ