Carvana Shares Jump 3.3% on $5.23B Q4 Revenue Forecast

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Carvana's shares rose 3.32% to $362.60 ahead of fourth-quarter earnings, with analysts forecasting $5.23 billion in revenue versus $3.55 billion a year ago and EPS of $1.12 compared to $0.56. Technical indicators show the stock trading 12.3% below its 20-day SMA, with support at $310 and resistance at $420.

1. Q4 Earnings Forecasts and Revenue Estimates

Carvana shares climbed 3.32% to $362.60 as investors positioned ahead of the fourth-quarter earnings release, with analysts forecasting $5.23 billion in revenue (up from $3.55 billion year-over-year) and earnings per share of $1.12 versus $0.56 last year. The company sold 155,941 vehicles in Q3 and aims to exceed 150,000 units in Q4.

2. Technical Indicators Signal Bearish Pressure

Currently trading 12.3% below its 20-day simple moving average and 16.2% below its 50-day SMA, Carvana's RSI stands at 35.23 and MACD sits below its signal line, suggesting limited upward momentum. Key support is identified at $310, while resistance sits at $420, indicating potential price inflection points.

3. Historical Performance and Volatility

Carvana has experienced extreme share price swings, peaking at about $375 during the pandemic, collapsing to near $4 in 2022, and rallying to roughly $485 in January 2026, resulting in a 12-month return of 26.97% despite year-to-date declines. The stock's previous streak includes seven consecutive quarters of revenue beats and eight of ten quarters with profit surprises.

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