Chevron Gets $183 Price Target and Approves $18–19B Leviathan Expansion

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Analyst Michael Del Monte rates Chevron 'Buy' with a $183/share target, citing advanced oil recovery, Guyana assets and $3–4 billion in structural cost cuts by 2027. Chevron approved a 2026 FID capex of $18–19 billion to drill three Leviathan wells and upgrade facilities, targeting 21 bcm annual gas output.

1. Bullish Growth Outlook Underpinned by Operational Targets

Analyst Michael Del Monte maintains a Buy rating on Chevron with a $183 per share target, reflecting several key drivers. Management is targeting a 2%–3% compound annual production growth rate through 2030, supported by advanced oil recovery techniques in the Permian and Gulf of Mexico and Guyana offshore developments that added over 200,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) in 2025. Structural cost reduction initiatives are expected to deliver $3–$4 billion of savings by 2027, while free cash flow per share is projected to nearly double over the next five years from 2024 levels.

2. U.S. Moves to Expand Venezuelan Production License

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright told Reuters that the administration is expediting approval of an expanded license for Chevron’s operations in Venezuela. The revised license could restore production capacity of up to 200,000 boe/d at the Petropiar and Petromonagas joint ventures, where Chevron holds a combined 34% working interest. Rapid approval would allow Chevron to repatriate earnings and accelerate planned maintenance programs, potentially adding 50,000 boe/d by early 2026.

3. Final Investment Decision on Leviathan Expansion

Chevron Mediterranean Limited, operator with a 39.66% stake alongside NewMed Energy (45.34%) and Ratio Energies (15%), approved the Leviathan offshore gas expansion in Israel. The project will drill three additional subsea wells and upgrade treatment facilities to raise annual gas deliveries to approximately 21 billion cubic meters by the end of the decade. Chevron forecasts 2026 capital expenditure of $18–$19 billion companywide, with this strategic investment contributing to the targeted 2%–3% annual production growth through 2030.

4. Strategic Entry into Electricity Supply for Data Centers

Chevron is expanding into gas-fired power generation, signing its first agreements to supply electricity to hyperscale data centers in Northern Virginia. The company will develop two 200 megawatt gas turbines, leveraging existing pipeline assets and gas processing capacity. This move diversifies Chevron’s earnings base, with expected power sales of up to 1.6 terawatt-hours per year starting in 2027 and incremental free cash flow contribution estimated at $150–$200 million annually once both plants reach full commercial operation.

Sources

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