Chevron Raises Dividend 4% After Q4 EPS Beat Despite 10% Revenue Drop
Chevron reported Q4 EPS of $1.52, beating estimates by $0.08, while revenue of $45.79 billion missed forecasts of $48.18 billion, down 10.2% year-over-year. The board raised its quarterly dividend from $1.71 to $1.78 per share and analysts hold a $175 average price target across 24 firms.
1. Chevron Shares Climb Over 16% in January Driven by Oil Rally and Q4 Results
Chevron stock surged more than 16% in January following a rally in global oil benchmarks due to growing concerns over potential supply disruptions. The company reported fourth‐quarter earnings per share of $1.52, beating consensus forecasts by $0.08, although revenue declined 10.2% year‐over‐year to $45.79 billion versus analyst expectations of $48.18 billion. Production growth of 12% year‐over‐year helped offset lower price realizations in upstream operations, particularly in the Permian Basin and newly acquired high-potential assets.
2. Mixed Analyst Sentiment with ’Hold’ Consensus and Divergent Price Targets
Among 24 analysts covering Chevron, four rate the stock as a sell, eight as a hold and twelve as a buy, yielding an overall average recommendation of “Hold.” The mean 12-month price objective stands at $175.00. Recent analyst actions include Freedom Capital’s downgrade to “Strong Sell,” Piper Sandler’s overweight rating with a reduced target from $178 to $174, and UBS reaffirming a buy stance with a $212 objective. Zacks Research upgraded the stock from “Strong Sell” to “Hold,” while Argus set a $203 target.
3. Dividend Raised, Yield Approaching 4%
Chevron announced a quarterly dividend of $1.78 per share, up from $1.71, payable March 10 to holders of record on February 17. This represents an annualized payout of $7.12 and a dividend yield of approximately 3.9%, with a payout ratio of 102.7% based on the latest earnings run rate. The increase underscores Chevron’s commitment to returning cash to shareholders despite a year-over-year revenue decline of more than 10% in the fourth quarter.
4. Significant Insider Sales Highlighted by CEO Transaction
In early January, CEO Michael K. Wirth sold 320,700 shares at an average price of $162.99 for proceeds of $52.3 million, reducing his holding by 95.7%. Later in January, insider Alana K. Knowles sold 3,200 shares at an average price of $170.00, generating $544,000 in proceeds and cutting her stake by 72.6%. Overall, insiders disposed of 764,958 shares worth $122.9 million over the past 90 days, representing 0.21% of outstanding shares.