Despite their growing dominance, the Chinese memory makers face constraints. Both companies rely on deep ultraviolet lithography machines — used to print the tiny circuits that make chips — from Dutch giant ASML ASML.AS. The Dutch government has faced U.S. pressure to restrict sales of advanced lithography equipment to Chinese companies because of the machines’ importance in producing cutting-edge semiconductors with potential military applications and because the machines contain U.S. technology.
The Chinese memory makers’ Korean and American competitors make DRAM chips using ASML’s more-advanced extreme ultraviolet lithography machines. China has been barred from obtaining those machines since the Dutch government began withholding export licenses in 2019. While CXMT has produced its own high-bandwidth memory, an ultrafast format that is crucial for AI, five sources said it remains two generations, or several years, behind its rivals.
"If more restrictions are imposed on lithography equipment, that would be the biggest challenge for Chinese memory makers," said Ray Wang, an analyst who focuses on memory and AI supply chains at research firm SemiAnalysis. "China remains quite behind in that part of the equipment supply chain compared to other tool segments."
ASML declined to comment on the potential impact of any future export regulations.
YMTC is more insulated than CXMT from such a scenario. Since its addition to the U.S. Entity List in 2022, YMTC has replaced around half of its equipment with domestic machinery and developed new techniques to stack memory layers using less-advanced tools, according to two people.
Chinese memory chips were long seen by foreign executives as cheaper alternatives to Western and South Korean products. But that is no longer the case, six people told Reuters. In recent weeks, CXMT has charged more than Samsung's roughly $1,240-per-unit price for comparable 64-gigabyte DDR5 server memory modules, two of these people said. They wouldn’t disclose the precise CXMT price.
Samsung didn’t respond to questions. SK Hynix also declined to comment.
Several Chinese electronics and tech firms complained to China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology this year about price increases by CXMT and YMTC, blaming the hikes for delaying product launches, according to two people. The sources declined to identify the companies that lodged the complaints.
The ministry, which didn’t respond to questions for this story, said in April that it would crack down on memory-chip hoarding aimed at driving up prices.
The government has also steered demand to domestic chip suppliers. Chinese state-owned firms are restricted from buying from foreign memory makers, according to two sources.
The supply deal between CXMT and ByteDance followed an agreement between the chipmaker and Tencent in June worth over $3 billion. Tencent didn’t respond to a request for comment.
At YMTC, Chairman Chen Nanxiang had forecast this moment. He told Chinese state media in 2024 that "while the industry had not yet reached explosive growth, that day would come within three to five years."
By early this year, as the company began picking and choosing clients for the first time, Chen and his leadership team were celebrating, according to two sources. The boom he predicted had arrived.
($1 = 6.7697 Chinese yuan renminbi)