Chipotle Guides 315–345 New Stores in 2025, 350–370 in 2026; Reports 7.5% Q3 Revenue Growth

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Chipotle plans to open 315–345 net new U.S. and Canadian restaurants in 2025 and 350–370 in 2026 after opening its 4,000th store in December. In Q3 2025, same-store sales rose 0.3% while revenue climbed 7.5% year-over-year and net income grew 376% to $382 M.

1. Incremental Same-Store Sales Recovery

In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Chipotle reported a modest same-store sales increase of 0.3%, marking its first positive comparable-restaurant growth since mid-2024. Despite consumer sensitivity to menu pricing, the company achieved a 7.5% year-over-year revenue rise by leveraging higher average check sizes and a gradual rebound in transaction counts. Management highlighted that promotional offers and targeted digital campaigns played a key role in stabilizing customer traffic during slower periods.

2. Accelerated Unit Expansion Plan

Chipotle reached its 4,000th restaurant milestone in December 2025, up from 2,768 units at the end of 2020. The company’s guidance calls for 315–345 net new openings in 2025 and 350–370 in 2026, reinforcing its long-term objective of 7,000 locations in the U.S. and Canada. International growth is also gaining momentum: beyond a strong footprint in Canada and Europe, partnership agreements will bring new units to Mexico, South Korea, and Singapore in 2026, with initial stores already operating in Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates.

3. Strengthening Profitability Through Operating Leverage

Between Q3 2020 and Q3 2025, Chipotle’s net income surged by 376% to $382 million, driven by economies of scale and efficient cost management. The average restaurant now generates over $3.1 million in annual sales, supporting a restaurant-level operating margin of 24.5%. As fixed costs are spread across a growing estate, the company expects unit economics to further improve, helping to offset inflationary pressures on food and labor inputs.

4. Attractive Valuation and Earnings Outlook

With the stock trading near the lowest price-to-earnings ratio in five years, investors are positioning for a potential rerating. Consensus Wall Street estimates project compound annual EPS growth of 11% from 2025 through 2027, underpinned by margin expansion and robust unit growth. If Chipotle executes on its expansion and same-store sales recovery targets, the company could deliver double-digit bottom-line gains and support significant total-return potential through the end of the decade.

Sources

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