Constellation Brands’ Q3 EPS Beats by 42c; Revenue Tops by $60M, Affirms $11.30–11.60 Outlook

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Constellation Brands reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.06, beating the $2.64 consensus, and delivered $2.22 billion in revenue versus the $2.16 billion estimate. The company affirmed its full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $11.30–$11.60 and highlighted beer market share gains and wine and spirits outperformance.

1. Third‐Quarter Results Exceed Wall Street Projections

Constellation Brands reported third‐quarter fiscal 2026 net sales of $2.22 billion, outpacing consensus revenue expectations by $60 million. Adjusted EPS came in at $3.06, topping the $2.64 estimate. The Beer Business segment grew 2.8% year-over-year, driven by stable demand for Modelo Especial and Corona Extra, while the Wine & Spirits division delivered 4.1% organic sales growth led by The Prisoner Wine Company and Casa Noble Tequila.

2. Pressure from Hispanic Consumer Weakness and Construction Slowdown

Management highlighted that economic stress within its core Hispanic consumer base and a softer U.S. construction market have constrained on-premise beer volumes. In U.S. beer channels, Hispanic drinker spending declined 3.5% sequentially, and on-premise unit sales fell 1.2% in regions with high construction activity shortfalls, reflecting tighter household budgets and reduced discretionary outings.

3. Fiscal 2026 Guidance Remains Intact

Despite the operating headwinds, the company reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EPS guidance range of $11.30 to $11.60. CFO Garth Hankinson emphasized that ongoing cost‐savings initiatives—expected to yield $150 million in annualized benefits—will offset input cost inflation of approximately 4%. The board maintained its dividend payout ratio target near 35% of adjusted net income, supporting steady cash returns to shareholders.

4. Strategic Innovation in the Non-Alcoholic Beverage Category

Building on its market‐leading Modelo portfolio, Constellation Brands introduced Modelo Chelada Limón y Sal Non-Alcoholic, offering 60 calories per 12 oz can. The launch targets the fast-growing low- and non-alcoholic RTD segment, which is forecast to expand 50% over the next two years. Initial distribution covers nine key states, representing 45% of U.S. beer dollar sales, with planned rollout to additional markets by Q3.

Sources

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