Costco boosts gas cash back to 5% and raises rebate cap to $350
Costco raised gas cash back on its co-branded Citi Anywhere Visa Card to 5% at Costco pumps (from 4%), expanding the annual $7,000 spending cap to a $350 maximum rebate (up from $280). It should drive card upgrades among 80 million members and boost renewals and fee income.
1. Costco’s Warehouse Expansion Drives Sustainable Growth
Costco continues to accelerate its warehouse expansion program, opening 25 new warehouses globally in fiscal 2025—12 in the U.S., 7 in Asia-Pacific, and 6 in Europe—bringing its total count to 861 locations. Notably, the company has reduced ramp-up time for new stores by 15% compared with the 2018–2022 average, reaching mature sales levels in an average of 7 months. Costco’s innovative approach to site reuse, including transforming former big-box retail spaces and repurposing logistics facilities, has cut average build-out costs by 8%. These efficiencies support projected annual revenue growth of 7–9% over the next five years, according to management forecasts.
2. Twenty-Year Investment Returns Significantly Outperform Market
An investment of $1,000 in Costco stock at the start of 2006 would be worth approximately $27,600 today, including reinvested dividends, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 11.2%. By contrast, a parallel investment in the S&P 500 would have grown to $7,900 (CAGR of 6.1%). Even after a 6% share-price decline in 2025, Costco’s long-term performance underscores the resilience of its low-margin, high-volume model. Over the 20-year period, Costco’s average annual comparable-sales growth has been 6.8%, and the company has added over 100 million members, boosting its membership renewal rate to roughly 90%.
3. Dividends and Cash Returns Maintain Investor Appeal
Costco’s board has raised its quarterly dividend for 16 consecutive years, reflecting a 9.5% compound annual growth in per-share payouts since 2010. At the most recent quarterly declaration, the yield stood at 0.53%, below peer averages but backed by a strong payout ratio of approximately 22%. Management has also authorized $7 billion in share-repurchase capacity through fiscal 2027, having deployed $3.2 billion in buybacks over the past 12 months. This combination of dividend growth and disciplined repurchases supports a total shareholder-return target of mid-teens over the next decade, according to consensus analyst estimates.
4. Enhanced Gas Rewards Strengthen Member Loyalty
In a strategic move to deepen engagement with its over 80 million paid members, Costco has quietly increased the cash-back rate on its branded credit card for warehouse fuel purchases to 5% (up from 4%), capped at $7,000 in annual spend. This adjustment raises the maximum annual gas-reward benefit from $280 to $350. Outside of warehouse fuel, eligible gas and electric-vehicle charging continue to earn 4% cash back, with all other purchases at standard 1–3% rates. By boosting cardholder incentives without altering the no-annual-fee structure, Costco aims to drive upgrades to its co-branded card and sustain its high member-renewal rate, which has hovered near 90% for more than a decade.