Costco Plans 28 FY26 Warehouses, Warns of Diesel Freight Headwinds
Costco will open 28 new warehouses in fiscal 2026 and plans to exceed 30 openings annually thereafter to boost traffic and membership growth. Management warns that rising diesel-driven freight costs and $5-per-gallon gasoline levels could pressure gross margins.
1. Warehouse Expansion Strategy
Costco is set to open 28 new warehouses in fiscal 2026, targeting underserved markets and accelerating its average annual openings to over 30 units. This aggressive rollout aims to drive membership growth, increase same-store sales, and capture incremental market share in both domestic and international regions.
2. Margin Pressure from Freight Costs
Rising diesel prices, pushing gasoline toward the $5-per-gallon threshold, are expected to elevate freight expenses that flow through Costco’s supply chain. Management anticipates these higher logistics costs could compress gross margins over the next one to two quarters if oil prices remain elevated.
3. Fuel Value Proposition Driving Traffic
Costco’s fuel stations, known for offering gasoline at deep discounts, serve as a traffic driver that encourages in-store cross-shopping and higher average basket sizes. This value-based fuel offering helps offset consumer wallet pressures, particularly for price-sensitive shoppers.