Costco Q1 Digital Sales Jump 20.5% While Planning 28 New Warehouses
Costco’s digitally enabled comparable sales rose 20.5% in Q1 fiscal 2026 with e-commerce traffic up 24% and average order value up 13%, while January digital comps surged 34.4% driving 9.3% net sales growth. Management plans 28 net new warehouses in fiscal 2026 and 30+ annually thereafter.
1. Dual Growth Engine
Costco is combining rapid digital penetration with its established warehouse network to fuel growth. Digitally enabled comparable sales climbed 20.5% in Q1 fiscal 2026, supported by a 24% increase in e-commerce traffic and a 13% rise in average order value, while January digital comps jumped 34.4%, contributing to 9.3% net sales growth for the retail month.
2. Digital Sales Performance
Digital initiatives like the Costco Digital Wallet and pre-scanning technology have improved checkout productivity by up to 20%, enhancing member engagement and driving higher basket sizes. These technology integrations are critical to bridging online and in-store experiences, elevating overall sales momentum.
3. Warehouse Expansion
Costco achieved a 3.1% increase in worldwide comparable traffic and a 3.2% rise in ticket size in Q1, while new warehouses opened in fiscal 2025 generated an annualized $192 million in first-year sales, up from $150 million two years ago. Management targets 28 net new warehouse openings in fiscal 2026 and aims for 30 or more annually thereafter.
4. Outlook and Valuation
YTD shares are up 18.1% versus 12.4% for the industry, reflecting strong performance. Costco trades at a forward P/E of 48.4 compared to the industry’s 33.7, with consensus forecasts calling for 8% sales growth and 12.2% EPS growth this year, followed by 7.1% sales and 9.3% EPS growth next year.