Curated Capital sees UK growth near 2% in 2027, outpacing OBR forecast
EWU•
EWU•Curated Capital said UK economic growth could approach 2% in 2027, nearly double the Office for Budget Responsibility’s 1% forecast, supported by productivity and business investment.
Curated Capital said UK economic growth could approach 2% in 2027, nearly double the Office for Budget Responsibility’s 1% forecast. It cited stronger productivity and business investment and challenged the OBR’s reliance on employment figures it said may be overstated.
Curated Capital said any interest rate increase this week was expected to be the cycle’s last, contrasting with market expectations of rates at 4.75% in 2028. It said a Gulf peace settlement could speed inflation declines and rate cuts, while stronger growth could bring the current budget into surplus by fiscal 2028-29, helped by revenue gains from frozen tax allowances.