Deutsche Bank Targets Over 13% RoTE by 2028 Through Revenue Growth and Cost Cuts
Deutsche Bank aims to lift its return on tangible equity above 13% by 2028 through targeted revenue growth, cost reductions, capital optimization and increased shareholder payouts. The plan emphasizes disciplined expense management and strategic capital allocation to drive sustainable earnings expansion over the next five years.
1. Leisure & Lodging Analyst Bullish on Theme Parks
Chris Woronka, Deutsche Bank’s leisure and lodging analyst, highlighted Six Flags as his top pick in the travel and leisure sector during a recent appearance on 'The Exchange.' He cited the company’s disciplined capital allocation—returning 70% of free cash flow to shareholders—and its track record of delivering 8% annual attendance growth over the past three years. Woronka also pointed to Six Flags’ successful roll-out of dynamic pricing, which boosted per capita in-park spending by 12% year-over-year in Q3 2025. He expects a continued rebound in group bookings, forecasting an additional 5% lift in revenues in 2026 and underscoring the theme park operator’s margin expansion potential.
2. AI Investment to Shape 2026 Economic Landscape
In a note to clients, Deutsche Bank analysts projected that global AI spending will exceed $250 billion in 2026, up from $180 billion in 2025, driving both growth and volatility across markets. They estimate that AI-related capex will account for 15% of total corporate capital expenditures in developed markets next year, up from 10%. Productivity gains from AI integration could lift global GDP by 0.8 percentage points in 2026, while increased competition for talent and hardware may introduce earnings swings of up to 4% per quarter for key technology firms. The team warned investors to expect rapid rotations between AI hardware suppliers, data center operators and software developers as the technology cycle evolves.
3. Roadmap to RoTE Above 13% by 2028
Deutsche Bank has outlined a comprehensive plan to lift its return on tangible equity (RoTE) above 13% by the end of 2028. The strategy rests on four pillars: achieving 5%–7% annual revenue growth through fee income expansion in wealth management and corporate banking; cutting €1.5 billion in non-interest expenses via process automation and branch optimization; maintaining a CET1 ratio above 13.5% through disciplined capital management; and returning 50%–70% of net income to shareholders via dividends and share buybacks. Management confirmed the bank achieved a 9.8% RoTE in H1 2025 and is on track for double-digit returns by year end, underpinned by a targeted 25% reduction in risk‐weighted assets in underperforming business lines.