Exxon Mobil Q4 Revenues Top $82.3B as Analysts Adjust Price Targets
Exxon Mobil posted Q4 revenue of $82.3B, generated $12.7B operating cash flow, $5.6B free cash flow, a $10.7B cash balance and adjusted EPS of $1.71, all topping consensus. Wells Fargo cut its target to $156 from $158, while RBC lifted its target to $150 from $145.
1. Fourth-Quarter 2025 Performance Exceeds Expectations
Exxon Mobil reported total revenues of $82.3 billion for Q4 2025, surpassing the consensus forecast of $81.5 billion. The company generated $12.7 billion in cash flow from operations and achieved adjusted free cash flow of $5.6 billion, finishing the quarter with a cash balance of $10.7 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.71, topping analyst estimates of $1.67 and reflecting strength across upstream, downstream and chemical segments.
2. Analyst Target Revisions Reflect Confidence and Caution
Following the earnings release, Wells Fargo maintained an Overweight rating on Exxon Mobil but trimmed its 12-month price target from $158 to $156, citing near-term volume headwinds in upstream operations. RBC Capital kept a Sector Perform rating and raised its target from $145 to $150, highlighting resilient downstream margins and cost-saving initiatives. Both firms concur that the company’s disciplined capital allocation and dividend growth strategy support a constructive medium-term outlook.
3. 2025 Full-Year Achievements and 2026 Outlook
For the full year 2025, Exxon Mobil delivered $28.8 billion in net earnings and $52 billion in operating cash flow, driven by record production volumes of 4.7 million barrels per day from expansions in the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana. The company realized $3 billion in structural cost savings and returned $37.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, extending its dividend growth streak to 43 years. Looking ahead to 2026, upstream production is expected to average around 4.9 million barrels per day, with first-quarter volumes projected 100,000–200,000 barrels per day lower due to timing effects and maintenance downtime.