Fastly Rises Almost 100% on Q4 Beat and $700M–$720M 2026 Revenue Outlook

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Fastly soared nearly 100% this week after reporting Q4 revenue of $172.6M (+23% YoY) and EPS that doubled analyst forecasts, driven by growing demand from agentic AI workloads. The company raised 2026 revenue guidance to $700M–$720M and saw security revenue climb 32%, highlighting robust AI-driven growth.

1. Earnings Beat Fuels Stock Surge

Fastly reported Q4 revenue of $172.6 million, up 23% year-over-year, and delivered EPS that doubled analyst expectations. CEO Kip Compton highlighted the company’s pivot to support agentic AI workloads, which attracted substantial investor interest and propelled shares nearly 100% higher this week.

2. Aggressive Guidance and Security Growth

Management guided 2026 revenue to a range of $700 million to $720 million, well above prior analyst estimates. Meanwhile, security-related revenue rose 32%, reflecting strong demand for solutions that protect against AI-driven web traffic challenges.

3. Technical Momentum and Potential Risks

Shares are trading 68.9% above their 20-day SMA and 65.2% above their 100-day SMA, signaling robust momentum. However, an RSI of 81.6 indicates overbought conditions and suggests the stock may face a short-term pullback despite bullish MACD readings.

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