Ferguson shares jump as analysts lift targets after 2026 outlook update

FERGFERG

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) is higher today as investors react to fresh analyst price-target hikes tied to its newly issued 2026 outlook. The stock is also benefiting from renewed attention on capital returns after the company highlighted substantial buybacks and remaining repurchase authorization exiting 2025.

1. What’s moving the stock

Ferguson Enterprises shares are up about 3% in Tuesday trading (March 31, 2026) after a new round of analyst target increases and commentary that reframed the company’s 2026 guidance as more supportive than feared. In the most recent update, Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Ferguson following the company’s fiscal 2025 results and its fiscal 2026 guidance, and it also noted another major firm lifting its target while reiterating an outperform stance. (investing.com)

2. Why the market is leaning bullish

The bullish tone is being reinforced by Ferguson’s own guidance-and-capital-return narrative. In its latest results package, the company outlined strong calendar 2025 results, issued 2026 guidance, and disclosed that it repurchased roughly $0.9 billion of shares during the year, leaving about $0.6 billion still available under its current authorization as of December 31, 2025. That combination—clear forward-year targets plus ongoing buyback capacity—tends to support valuation on up days when sentiment improves. (corporate.ferguson.com)

3. What to watch next

Investors will be watching for follow-through in additional analyst revisions and for any incremental disclosure on how demand is trending across Ferguson’s residential versus non-residential exposures as 2026 unfolds. The next catalyst window is the company’s next scheduled earnings report date in early June 2026, when management can either validate or pressure-test the assumptions embedded in the newly raised targets. (chartmill.com)