First Solar Trades at 11.5 Forward P/E After 48% 2025 Gain, Support at $250

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First Solar shares rose 48% in 2025 with a forward P/E of 11.5 and a consensus price target implying about 4% upside. It beat revenue estimates in its last two quarters and is holding support at $250, with a $260–$280 base that could spark momentum above $280.

1. Company Overview and 2025 Performance

First Solar reported a strong return profile in 2025, with its share price rising 48% over the course of the year. The company’s core business remains the design and manufacture of thin-film photovoltaic modules using cadmium telluride technology, a segment that is less commoditized than crystalline silicon and geared toward utility-scale installations. Management highlighted that utility-scale project bookings increased by 22% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, driven by multigigawatt power purchase agreements signed with major utilities in North America and Europe.

2. Analyst Sentiment and Forward Valuation

Analyst coverage is robust, with 35 independent firms maintaining a consensus Moderate Buy recommendation. The average target implies roughly 4% upside from current levels. The forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at 11.5, below the peer group average of 14.2, reflecting a valuation discount despite outperformance. Revenue beats in each of the past two quarters—$1.12 billion in Q2 and $1.18 billion in Q3—have helped underpin the positive sentiment among research teams.

3. Technical Setup and Key Support Levels

From a technical perspective, First Solar’s shares have been trading within a well-defined uptrend channel since mid-2025. Chart analysis shows the $250 per share area has acted as a strong support level on three separate tests in the last six months. A sustained move above $280 is viewed by technicians as a trigger for the next leg higher, while a break below $250 would require reassessment of near-term momentum. Trading volume has remained above the 50-day average during recent rallies, indicating continued institutional interest.

Sources

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