First Solar Gains 48% in 2025 with Forward P/E of 11.5 and 4% Upside

FSLRFSLR

First Solar shares rallied 48% in 2025 while trading at a forward P/E of 11.5 and carrying a consensus price target that implies roughly 4% upside. The company has beaten revenue estimates in each of the last two quarters, driven by strong utility-scale solar demand.

1. Strong 2025 Performance and Fundamental Resilience

First Solar delivered a total return of 48% in 2025, outpacing the broader renewable energy sector. This performance was driven by robust demand for utility-scale projects and the company’s differentiated cadmium telluride thin-film technology. In each of the last two quarters, First Solar beat consensus revenue estimates, reflecting strong order flow for large-scale installations across North America and Europe. Management’s guidance for fiscal 2026 projects another year of mid-teens percentage revenue growth as project pipelines mature and module shipments ramp up.

2. Attractive Valuation and Analyst Conviction

Despite the stock’s significant appreciation last year, First Solar continues to trade at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 11.5, below the sector average of roughly 14.0. A consensus of 35 analysts maintains a Moderate Buy rating, with the average price target implying approximately 4% upside from current levels. This combination of a conservative valuation multiple and sustained earnings growth forecasts underpins the bull case for the stock, with several research firms highlighting improving margin profiles and project backlog visibility as key catalysts.

3. Technical Base and Key Support Levels

On the charts, First Solar has established a well-defined upward trend since early 2025, constructing a trading range between roughly 260 and 280. The 250 area serves as critical support; a confirmation of that level holding would reinforce the current base. A decisive move above 280 would signal renewed momentum and could catalyze a fresh leg higher toward the stock’s prior all-time highs. Technical analysts note that volume expansion on breakout attempts will be vitally important to validate any sustained advance.

Sources

ZI