Telsey Raises Five Below Price Target to $240 on 23% Holiday Sales Surge

FIVEFIVE

Telsey Advisory raised its Five Below price target to $240, implying 19.9% upside based on current trading levels. The retailer logged a 23% increase in holiday sales and boosted Q4 and fiscal 2025 guidance accordingly.

1. Analyst Raises Price Target

On January 13, 2026, Telsey Advisory set a new price target that implies an approximate 19.9% upside for Five Below shares, reflecting improved sentiment driven by the company’s recent operating performance. This revision follows a 4% rally in the stock after the holiday reporting period, underscoring growing investor confidence in the retailer’s ability to sustain momentum through fiscal 2025.

2. Holiday Sales Surge and Guidance Lift

During the recent holiday season, Five Below delivered a 23% year-over-year increase in sales, prompting management to raise its guidance for both the fourth quarter and the full fiscal year 2025. The company cited strong traffic trends in its teenager and pre-teen customer base, and now expects same-store sales growth to exceed previous forecasts, with fiscal 2025 revenue and earnings per share targets both adjusted upward.

3. Strong Market Position and Active Trading

Five Below operates over 1,000 stores nationwide and maintains a market capitalization of approximately $11.18 billion, reflecting its established footprint in the value-priced retail segment. Trading activity remains robust, with an average daily volume of 354,618 shares on the NASDAQ exchange. The retailer continues to compete effectively against peers such as Dollar Tree and Dollar General, leveraging its merchandise assortment and in-store experience to drive customer loyalty.

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