FOREX-Dollar trading near multi-month lows, restrained by debt nerves

A wavering dollar was pinned near multi-month lows on Monday in a market unsettled by the U.S. Treasury's promise to buy back more long-dated bonds, while traders awaited details of sanctions on Iran and on policy speeches this week in the U.S. and Japan. The Canadian dollar `CAD=` slipped 0.3% in Asia trade, to C$1.3807 per dollar, after trade talks with the U.S. collapsed and Washington imposed 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, with Canada retaliating in kind. The Australian `AUD=` and New Zealand dollars `NZD=` traded just shy of three-month highs at $0.7166 and $0.5972, respectively. The euro `EUR=` was comfortably above $1.16 at $1.1680, while the yen `JPY=` kept to the strong side of 159 per dollar. Friday data showing the strongest U.S. services growth in nearly two years in August held off dollar sellers but hardly inspired a rally. The dollar logged its largest weekly drop against bitcoin `BTC=` in nearly 3-1/2 years on Sunday and it has been sliding sharply on gold `XAU=` over revived fears the currency will suffer if the U.S. tries to hold down yields. Long-end yields have been climbing globally on a combination of a solid economic growth outlook, rising inflation expectations and nerves about ballooning sovereign debts. Last week, after 30-year yields `US30YT=RR` hit almost two-decade highs, the U.S. Treasury announced it would double buybacks at the long end to $4 billion per operation. The size is paltry in a market worth $32 trillion, but the interventionist signal spooked traders and hit the dollar. "By attempting to hold the price of longer-duration securities from falling, this leaves the dollar as the remaining release valve to encourage foreign inflows to finance the U.S.' current account," said analysts at Goldman Sachs in a note. Sterling `GBP=` was firm at $1.3650 in morning trade and the yuan `CNY=CFXS`, which notched an eighth straight weekly rise last week, hovered near a 3-1/2-year high at 6.7232 per dollar. `GBP/CNY/` Later on Monday, at 1800 GMT, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is due to hold a press conference after threatening "the toughest sanctions in history" on Iran, with markets focused on whether he will target China. Iran's foreign minister has dismissed the threat of new U.S. sanctions as a sign of desperation. Market participants will also be hoping for some clarity on the outlook for U.S. interest rates when Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday. He is also sure to face questions about Treasury's buybacks. "Any comments on the balance sheet, duration supply, or term premium could move the long end more than the data itself. That said, given Warsh’s typically restrained style, we aren’t holding our breath," said BNY strategist Geoff Yu. A Thursday appearance by Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino will also be closely watched as a prelude to next month's policy meeting. In particular, investors will be looking to see if he pushes back on a shift in market pricing to see a faster pace of hikes. "Himino may signal the BOJ is moving closer to another interest rate hike," said Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategist Joe Capurso. "However, any hawkish comments are likely to exert only modest downward pressure on USD/JPY. Developments in the U.S. bond market are a more important driver of USD/JPY."

FOREX-Dollar trading near multi-month lows, restrained by debt nerves

Dollar stays near multi-month lows

Debt concerns and yields weigh on the dollar

Sanctions, Warsh speech and BOJ meeting in focus

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