Fortinet Shares Jump 5.2% After Cowen Buy Upgrade and $90 Price Target
TD Cowen upgraded Fortinet to Buy, arguing that AI replacement fears are overstated and billings could outperform in 2026. MarketBeat’s survey of 34 analysts shows an average Hold rating with a one-year target price of $90.04, and shares jumped 5.19% on January 23.
1. Analyst Ratings Consensus
Thirty-four research firms covering Fortinet have issued recommendations, resulting in an average rating of Hold. Breakdown: 3 sell ratings, 24 hold ratings, 6 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating. The average one-year price target across all brokerages stands at $90.04, reflecting tempered upside expectations from analysts over the next 12 months.
2. Recent Brokerage Actions
Several major brokerages have updated their Fortinet assessments in the past two months. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a hold (c) rating on December 29. Morgan Stanley maintained an underweight rating on December 18 but raised its target to $70 from $66. Barclays trimmed its equal weight target from $90 to $88 on November 6, while UBS reduced its neutral target from $90 to $80 on the same date. On December 17, JPMorgan Chase & Co. reaffirmed an underweight rating and lowered its target to $75 from $85.
3. Insider Transactions
CEO Ken Xie sold 158,485 shares on November 3 at an average price of $86.51, netting $13.71 million and reducing his stake by 0.31% to 51.39 million shares (valued at approximately $4.45 billion). Vice President Michael Xie sold 3,546 shares on the same day at $86.53 per share, generating $306,835 and trimming his holding by 0.03% to 10.49 million shares (valued at about $907.87 million). Insiders collectively own 17.20% of the company’s stock.
4. Institutional Holdings Shifts
Large investors have adjusted their Fortinet positions in recent quarters. Vanguard Group increased its stake by 4.0% to 75.58 million shares (worth $6.35 billion) in Q3. State Street raised its holding by 1.6% to 29.66 million shares ($2.49 billion). Geode Capital Management boosted its position by 5.2% to 16.92 million shares ($1.78 billion) in Q2. Norges Bank initiated a new position valued at $1.64 billion during the same quarter. Invesco lifted its stake by 17.0% to 10.82 million shares ($909 million) in Q3. Overall, institutional investors own 83.71% of Fortinet stock.