Global Markets-Oil continues climb with doubts about potential US-Iran deal; stocks retreat

Oil prices gained and global shares retreated on Tuesday as traders assessed talks over reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Uncertainty over the global inflation outlook also weighed. Gold prices retreated from a two-month peak ahead of consumer price data due on Wednesday. The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed as long as the U.S. does not change its behavior and accept Iran's conditions to end [the war](https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/), the newly appointed secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council said on Tuesday. "Markets are grappling with the prospects of some form of detente, although they're misguided in thinking that any form of resolution is the last chapter of this story," said Ron Albahary, chief investment officer at LNW. World equities gave back earlier gains, with MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS down 0.28%. A back-and-forth between the U.S. and Iran has been in focus amid escalating tensions that sent oil prices surging 5% on Monday. U.S. President Donald Trump responded to Iranian conditions for a deal with his own, calling for Iran to pay compensation for those killed in wars, attacks and protests, potentially complicating efforts to reopen the crucial waterway. Brent crude futures LCOc1 climbed 1.29% to $88.90 per barrel. U.S. crude rose 1.22% to $83.17. "This is going to be almost a war of attrition now," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG. "You probably can see the (oil) market sitting around the $75 to $95 range while we wait to see who blinks first." On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 0.22% to 53,858.27, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 0.38% to 7,723.79 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC was down 0.79% at 26,395.56. The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX was flat at 660.51 points, holding near all-time highs as investors balanced earnings optimism against geopolitical risks in the Middle East. While Wednesday's U.S. July consumer price report will not capture the most recent rise in energy costs, it could still prove instrumental in setting expectations for September's Federal Reserve meeting, for which money markets show there is a 50-50 chance of a hike 0#USDIRPR. "We think the risks are skewed towards a hot print, which would probably drive a rebound in rate expectations and, potentially, renewed worries about stagflation," said Jonas Goltermann, chief markets economist at Capital Economics. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 1.17 basis points to 4.686%. The S&P 500 and the Dow hovered near all-time highs hit last week, while the Nasdaq .IXIC is over 2% away from its record but well above its lows in July, when the tech-heavy index slid almost 10% from its peak. Overnight, Nvidia NVDA.O said it had teamed up with six major financial institutions including BlackRock BLK.N, Apollo APO.N and Goldman Sachs GS.N to create a set of funding measures worth more than $500 billion for AI infrastructure. It did not disclose much more detail, such as financial terms, investment commitments or how the planned $500 billion might fit into existing funding deals. "A small part of me was left wondering whether this is how it felt when subprime mortgages first became a mainstream product — the innovation that eventually helped trigger the GFC," Sycamore added, referring to the global financial crisis. Intel INTC.O raised $20 billion through a share sale, the first offering of its stock since the chipmaker listed in 1971. Intel shares were last down 0.2%. Among currencies, the yen JPY= was back in the spotlight. It was last down 0.02% against the dollar, remaining off last week's high of 155.20 after several suspected rounds of intervention, including a joint move by Japan and the United States. A holiday in Japan made for thinner trading than usual — often seen as a possible catalyst for intervention, as smaller trades can have a greater price impact than in normal conditions. The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.09% to 99.86, with the euro EUR= down 0.05% at $1.1536. Spot gold XAU= fell 0.57% to $4,363.54 an ounce.

Global Markets-Oil continues climb with doubts about potential US-Iran deal; stocks retreat

Oil rises as traders weigh US-Iran talks

Wall Street eases ahead of inflation data

Tech stocks and currencies remain in focus

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