Gold Surges 2.4% to $4,560 as Fed Signals Patience and Iran Off-Ramp

GLDGLD

Gold prices surged 2.4% to as high as $4,560 per ounce after Fed Chair signaled a wait-and-see stance, reducing the opportunity cost of holding bullion. Despite tactical support, steep yield curves and a reported US willingness to end the Iran campaign left gold on track for a roughly 13% monthly decline.

1. Gold Price Rebound

Bullion extended gains for a second session, rising as much as 2.4% to about $4,560 per ounce before easing slightly. The move marks a tactical reset after gold’s steep quarter-to-date decline, reflecting short-term repositioning by traders.

2. Federal Reserve Signals

Fed Chair’s comments emphasized a wait-and-see approach to further rate changes. Falling Treasury yields lowered the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, providing immediate support to prices.

3. Iran Conflict Developments

Reports indicate a potential US decision to end its military campaign against Iran without reopening the Strait of Hormuz. This off-ramp prospect reduced geopolitical risk premium even as shipping disruptions persist in key waterways.

4. Analyst Perspectives and Outlook

Markets remain skeptical of a full rate-cut narrative, pricing in fewer than one cut for year-end. Steep yield curves and tightening liquidity conditions are expected to cap gold’s upside, leaving bullion on track for a roughly 13% monthly decline.

Sources

FI