Hershey Beats Q4 EPS by 22% and Raises 2026 EPS Guidance to $8.20–$8.52
Hershey reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.71, beating consensus by 22% and net sales of $3.09 billion, up 7% year-on-year. The company set 2026 adjusted EPS guidance at $8.20–$8.52 (up 30–35%) and increased its quarterly dividend 6% to $1.452.
1. Shares Surge on Earnings Beat
Hershey shares opened significantly higher following the release of fourth-quarter results that exceeded consensus estimates. Trading volume reached 1.56 million shares in the opening session, reflecting strong investor interest after the company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.71, beating the Street by $0.31. This gap-up move highlights renewed confidence in Hershey’s ability to drive profit recovery despite a challenging macro environment.
2. Fourth-Quarter Financial Performance
For the quarter, Hershey delivered revenue of $3.09 billion, representing a 7.0% increase year-over-year and topping analyst forecasts by over $100 million. Organic constant-currency net sales rose 5.7%, driven by pricing initiatives that contributed approximately 9% growth, partially offset by a 3% volume decline. Gross margin expanded to 38.3% on an adjusted basis, reflecting supply-chain productivity gains and the benefit of lower cocoa costs, while net margin stood at 11.84%. Return on equity reached 32.08%, underscoring efficient capital deployment.
3. Robust Full-Year 2026 Outlook
Management set 2026 adjusted earnings guidance in the range of $8.20 to $8.52 per share, implying 30% to 35% growth relative to 2025, driven by continued gross-margin recovery and disciplined strategic investments. The company forecasts full-year net sales growth of 4% to 5%, supported by net price realization, innovation launches and incremental contributions from recent acquisitions. Planned capital expenditures are estimated at $425 million to $475 million, with automation savings of approximately $100 million expected to further enhance operating leverage.
4. Dividend Increase and Analyst Sentiment
Hershey announced a quarterly dividend of $1.452 per share, up from $1.37, marking a 6% increase and resulting in an annualized payout of $5.81 with a yield near 2.6%. The payout ratio stands at 81.9%, reflecting the strength of cash flow generation. Analyst coverage remains mixed, with one Strong Buy, six Buy and fifteen Hold ratings, and a consensus target roughly 1% below current levels. Recent insider purchases by the CEO and other executives reinforce management’s confidence in the company’s long-term trajectory.