Hillman Targets $2.5B Sales by 2030 with 8-12% CAGR, Reaffirms 2026 Guidance
Hillman Solutions outlined a blueprint targeting $2.5B net sales by 2030 with 8-12% revenue CAGR, low-double-digit adjusted EBITDA CAGR and high-teen ROIC across an $18B market opportunity in retail, pro distribution and industrial MRO. It reaffirmed 2026 guidance of $1.6-$1.7B net sales, $275-$285M adjusted EBITDA and $100-$120M free cash flow.
1. Investor Day Overview
Hillman Solutions held its inaugural investor day at its Cincinnati Customer Support Center, where CEO Jon Michael Adinolfi highlighted the company’s structural advantages and long-term growth strategy.
2. Strategic Growth Blueprint
Management outlined a four-pillar blueprint—Own the Core, Expand Categories, Win the Pro channel, and ROIC Focus—aimed at leveraging core fastening and hardware products while unlocking new revenue streams and maintaining disciplined capital allocation.
3. Five-Year Financial Objectives
From 2025 to 2030, Hillman targets an 8%-12% revenue CAGR to reach $2.5 billion in net sales, low-double-digit adjusted EBITDA CAGR with margin expansion, net leverage below 2.5x and a high-teen return on invested capital, underpinned by M&A and operating efficiency.
4. 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed
The company reaffirmed full-year 2026 targets of $1.6-$1.7 billion in net sales, $275-$285 million in adjusted EBITDA and $100-$120 million in free cash flow, reflecting confidence in near-term performance.